as promised

here come my first career nfl picks. and its more fun to pick against the spread, so thats what im gonna do.

and my only other prediction of the weekend- team half a chance (my eleven and twelve year old basketball team) will win their first game. i have no idea who we are going to be playing, but im starting out an optimist. ill let you know how it goes. without further ado-

green bay at philly (eagles -6): hmm, i intentionally started with one of the best games this week. green bay has been hot lately. it seems like they do this every year, get just hot enough to make the playoffs and then lose a bit of energy. against the eagles you cannot lose energy. plus the defensive backs are fucking weak in green bay. i look for t.o. to celebrate 2 touchdowns and the eagles to win by 13 or so (i really wanna say 12 but that sounds like an odd number, so ill lay off of it). eagles cover.

dallas at seattle (seattle -7): heres the thing with this one; the cowboys look pretty bad on paper. but i refuse to believe they are as bad as advertised. now while i am still bitter that they let quincy carter go (coke problem or not, unacceptable, the guys soon to be a super bowl mvp for crying out loud), i simply cannot put any faith into a seahawk team that is rapidly self destructing. dallas covers, and wins to boot.

pittsburgh at jacksonville (pittsburgh -3): why is this game so close? jacksonville has yet to win convincingly. they have been squeaking out wins against mediocre teams (with the exception of maybe indy) all season. i am not impressed. i like leftwich, i like fred taylor, i like jimmy smith. i would like to see jacksonville win games. but they arent going to get it done agaist the nfl's best d. i know everyone is waiting for the steelers to stumble and for the rookie to make some rookie mistakes, but i just aint buying this one as an upset. if the jags win, i will admit i was wrong. when they dont, i will gloat about being the smartest man alive. pittsburgh covers, and wins by...oh, lets say ten. hines ward!

denver at san diego (san diego -3): again i am a bit flummoxed by this one. denvers got a good offense and theyve got a good defense. san diegos got a good offense and theyve got a good defense. san diegos got home field, which is supposed to be huge in the nfl (but which i dont really put a whole lot of stock in; the better team is usually going to win, no matter the location), and i dont trust much about denver beyond the running games ability to produce. jake plummer is as fucking unpredictable as they come. but i think this one boils down to the fact that i just dont really see the chargers being as good as they have been playing, or as good as the media is hyping them up to be. i say this ones close. maybe san diego wins, but i like denver to cover. ah, what the hell, denver wins by 6.

cincinnati at baltimore (baltimore -6.5): ill take the bungles to cover and i dont know why.

atlanta at tampa bay (tampa bay -1.5): the falcons are on a roll this year and just seem to keep on winning. hell theyd go undefeated if they just threw to crumpler every down, maybe letting vick run every once in a while. but they wont. and tampa has a good d. and vick never seems to be very vicklike against they bucs. and the bucs are at home. and the falcons are due for a loss. and every time i pick my home team they go down hard. so for all these reasons i pick tampa. and it wont really be that close. tampa by 17.

houston at new york jets (new york -7): even without quincy carter (fuck pennington, hes not the superstar quincy is) i like the jets. their defense should prove a bit too much for carr and the texans. new york covers.

i see no other games even worth metioning. spread or no spread the rest are fucking stinkers. perhaps by request i will make a prediction, but seeing as there have been no comments in quite some time, this looks like it will be it as far as my predictions go. this has been fun though, perhaps i will do it again. speaking of perhaps, i heard that song "perhaps, perhaps" in spanish the other day while dining at frontera. good shit, even when i cannot understand the words. anyhow, i digress. goodbye my miniscule audience. goodbye.